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Started by owlhoot, May 23, 2021, 02:51:16 PM
Quote from: deerhunt1988 on May 30, 2021, 12:15:57 PMQuote from: ChesterCopperpot on May 30, 2021, 11:55:39 AMI'd add that it's not only the overall loss but that research now suggests the removal of alphas early season (something greatly increased by modern tactics—strutter decoys, reaping, etc.) and the subsequent timeline of restructuring the social ladder also leads to inadequate/incomplete breeding cycles.Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkI keep seeing this repeated over and over on social media and forums. It is important to realize that this HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN BY SCIENCE. It is currently THEORY and there is research looking into it. Structuring seasons based on theory is a dangerous path because once opportunity is taken away, we likely won't get it back!Not saying the above is wrong. But it is important that we don't start letting season structures be adjusted based on theory, mostly that of one man.
Quote from: ChesterCopperpot on May 30, 2021, 11:55:39 AMI'd add that it's not only the overall loss but that research now suggests the removal of alphas early season (something greatly increased by modern tactics—strutter decoys, reaping, etc.) and the subsequent timeline of restructuring the social ladder also leads to inadequate/incomplete breeding cycles.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Quote from: warrent423 on May 23, 2021, 08:53:07 PMY'all still have not realized that this Chamberland feller is a kook
Quote from: ChesterCopperpot on May 30, 2021, 12:37:19 PMQuote from: deerhunt1988 on May 30, 2021, 12:15:57 PMQuote from: ChesterCopperpot on May 30, 2021, 11:55:39 AMI'd add that it's not only the overall loss but that research now suggests the removal of alphas early season (something greatly increased by modern tactics—strutter decoys, reaping, etc.) and the subsequent timeline of restructuring the social ladder also leads to inadequate/incomplete breeding cycles.Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkI keep seeing this repeated over and over on social media and forums. It is important to realize that this HAS NOT BEEN PROVEN BY SCIENCE. It is currently THEORY and there is research looking into it. Structuring seasons based on theory is a dangerous path because once opportunity is taken away, we likely won't get it back!Not saying the above is wrong. But it is important that we don't start letting season structures be adjusted based on theory, mostly that of one man.I didn't say anything about restructuring season dates. I said that research now suggests the timeline for social ladder restructuring takes longer and has a greater impact than previously thought, that when an alpha is taken out of a population that spot isn't filled the next day or days or perhaps even weeks, and that that can and does have an impact on inadequate/incomplete breeding cycles. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Quote from: GobbleNut on May 30, 2021, 08:47:30 AMQuote from: owlhoot on May 30, 2021, 12:41:04 AMQuote from: GobbleNut on May 28, 2021, 08:47:02 AMAll of this is all well and good, but the real question comes down to whether or not, in any given turkey population, there are enough (viable) male turkeys in the population to accomplish "breeding saturation". That is, are all breeding-age hens being fertilized such that they have the opportunity to nest and potentially pull off a successful clutch of poults? If there are not, then THAT is the problem, not whether it is a mature gobbler or jake that is doing the breeding. Bottom line is that if wildlife biologist's anywhere are focusing on viability of the male turkeys in any given area without correspondingly investigating the percentage of breeding-age hens in that population that are producing fertile eggs, then they are just spinning their wheels. Sure, it is a good idea to know all these percentages about male turkeys, but ultimately, it all comes down to making sure the hens are being fertilized in some way, shape, or form. Really, I suspect that these corresponding studies are being carried out at the same time. I'm just pointing out the obvious.... Lots of studies of hens nesting percentages. Nest and re-nest of older hens and younger ones obviously.As far as I am aware (which I admit I may not be fully up to date on the matter), those studies are based on populations where the "base parameters" include the assumption that there are enough gobblers in the population to result in full breeding of the hens in that population. Nesting percentages based on the assumption of full breeding are not the same as percentages based on an inadequate number of gobblers available to accomplish that. My current thought/question is that, in these seriously declining turkey populations we currently speak of, are there too few viable gobblers,...whether they be mature birds or jakes,...to result in all viable hens being bred? I am not so sure there have been studies done to find that out,...perhaps there have been. Spring gobbler seasons are based on the fundamental premise that, since turkeys are polygamous, there will always be a harvestable surplus of gobblers in any given population each spring. Without regular, recurring population recruitment (i.e....successful nesting), every year we hunt a population that is not having that nesting success, we are gradually decreasing the number of viable gobblers. At some point in time, that decrease has to result in inadequate/incomplete breeding of the hen population. Have we reached that point in some populations now? I don't know, but in my mind THAT is a very important consideration in all of this discussion. When we reach a point where there are not enough gobblers left to result in that "breeding saturation" mentioned,....and we continue to kill a few more of the remaining gobblers each spring,...there comes a point where we cannot justify that fundamental spring-hunting premise of "surplus gobblers". There has to be a tipping point where there are no longer surplus males. Again, I don't know if there are areas of the country where this situation exists,...but it is something that needs to be ascertained at some point. And finally, I want to emphasize that in no way am I trying to state that spring gobbler hunting,....within healthy turkey populations,...is a significant factor in population declines. It is not,...but there comes a point in certain situations where we have to ask ourselves,..."should we be killing the few remaining gobblers we have in this population?"
Quote from: owlhoot on May 30, 2021, 12:41:04 AMQuote from: GobbleNut on May 28, 2021, 08:47:02 AMAll of this is all well and good, but the real question comes down to whether or not, in any given turkey population, there are enough (viable) male turkeys in the population to accomplish "breeding saturation". That is, are all breeding-age hens being fertilized such that they have the opportunity to nest and potentially pull off a successful clutch of poults? If there are not, then THAT is the problem, not whether it is a mature gobbler or jake that is doing the breeding. Bottom line is that if wildlife biologist's anywhere are focusing on viability of the male turkeys in any given area without correspondingly investigating the percentage of breeding-age hens in that population that are producing fertile eggs, then they are just spinning their wheels. Sure, it is a good idea to know all these percentages about male turkeys, but ultimately, it all comes down to making sure the hens are being fertilized in some way, shape, or form. Really, I suspect that these corresponding studies are being carried out at the same time. I'm just pointing out the obvious.... Lots of studies of hens nesting percentages. Nest and re-nest of older hens and younger ones obviously.
Quote from: GobbleNut on May 28, 2021, 08:47:02 AMAll of this is all well and good, but the real question comes down to whether or not, in any given turkey population, there are enough (viable) male turkeys in the population to accomplish "breeding saturation". That is, are all breeding-age hens being fertilized such that they have the opportunity to nest and potentially pull off a successful clutch of poults? If there are not, then THAT is the problem, not whether it is a mature gobbler or jake that is doing the breeding. Bottom line is that if wildlife biologist's anywhere are focusing on viability of the male turkeys in any given area without correspondingly investigating the percentage of breeding-age hens in that population that are producing fertile eggs, then they are just spinning their wheels. Sure, it is a good idea to know all these percentages about male turkeys, but ultimately, it all comes down to making sure the hens are being fertilized in some way, shape, or form. Really, I suspect that these corresponding studies are being carried out at the same time. I'm just pointing out the obvious....
Quote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.
Quote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 09:15:44 AMQuote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Theory and fact tend to bleed into each other. Furthermore, what is a theory in one instance may actually be a fact in another. Intuitive reasoning based on empirical evidence has to come into play at some point. Personally, I have seen way too much evidence that the people in charge of the decision making processes in many instances lack the ability to comprehend that,...or if they have the ability, they tend to ignore it.
Quote from: Happy on May 31, 2021, 09:34:11 AMQuote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 09:15:44 AMQuote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Theory and fact tend to bleed into each other. Furthermore, what is a theory in one instance may actually be a fact in another. Intuitive reasoning based on empirical evidence has to come into play at some point. Personally, I have seen way too much evidence that the people in charge of the decision making processes in many instances lack the ability to comprehend that,...or if they have the ability, they tend to ignore it. Huh? Can ya dumb that down for me? Maybe draw some pictures or something
Quote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Quote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 09:15:44 AMQuote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Theory and fact tend to bleed into each other. Furthermore, what is a theory in one instance may actually be a fact in another. Intuitive reasoning based on empirical evidence has to come into play at some point.
Quote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 10:27:46 AMQuote from: Happy on May 31, 2021, 09:34:11 AMQuote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 09:15:44 AMQuote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Theory and fact tend to bleed into each other. Furthermore, what is a theory in one instance may actually be a fact in another. Intuitive reasoning based on empirical evidence has to come into play at some point. Personally, I have seen way too much evidence that the people in charge of the decision making processes in many instances lack the ability to comprehend that,...or if they have the ability, they tend to ignore it. Huh? Can ya dumb that down for me? Maybe draw some pictures or something Not sure that is possible in your case...
Quote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 12:29:41 PMQuote from: GobbleNut on May 31, 2021, 09:15:44 AMQuote from: Meleagris gallopavo on May 31, 2021, 08:00:06 AMI'm still trying to figure out what constitutes a theory or a fact in this thread.Theory and fact tend to bleed into each other. Furthermore, what is a theory in one instance may actually be a fact in another. Intuitive reasoning based on empirical evidence has to come into play at some point.If you look at my quote on my OG internet page you can see that I base most things on empirical evidence. Published research studies are documented results that test empirical observations/evidence. They give proof to what we have questions about. So far as this thread is concerned, based on what I've read, is that jakes may contribute to bred hens and resulting poults, but not to a great degree. There are a lot of factors that contribute to evidence of declining turkey populations in a given area. One area may have different reasons for population decline than another. But I think that relying on jakes to breed hens is not a sustainable answer to maintaining turkey populations. Some Jakes "may" help or contribute to bred hens, but to a small degree.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk