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Preseason Team Score Prediction

Started by GobbleNut, February 19, 2013, 06:34:53 PM

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GobbleNut

We get to score a total of nine birds for the total team score this year.  How about some predictions on what our total team score will be,...based on each team member's prediction of what their individual gobblers will score. 

Personally, I should reasonably expect to kill four or five gobblers this spring, but I will be lucky to get a bird that scores more than sixty points or so.  The areas I will be hunting just don't usually produce birds that score much more than that.  With the killers we have on the team this year, I will be lucky to get a bird that gets put into the team total.

How about the rest of the team?  What kind of scores do you think your birds will tally?  Maybe we can add up everybody's predictions and see how close we come to our real total when it is all done.

hookedspur

#1
My biggest last year was 66 something Anthony knocked me out of the biggest with that monster he killed up there by the Nuclear plant  ;D . I hope I can get 60 this year , we will see .
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snapper1982

i have killed many a bird over 60 but for this i will give myself a score of 55 to be conservative.

anthonyjhallen

Quote from: hookedspur on February 19, 2013, 08:57:28 PM
My biggest last year was 66 something Anthony knocked me out of the biggest with that monster he killed up there by the Nuclear plant  ;D . I hope I can get 60 this year , we will see .

It wasn't a nuclear plant but they do test and develop all the Army's chem warfare stuff here....:o

I will set a goal for myself at 70.  Its a long shot but I will have at least 3 tags to burn, so I think its doable.

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HoggleGobble

I should kill 5 or 6 with traveling. Hope to get at least one around 64

redarrow

My best was just under 70. Hunting the same area and know his offspring are there. I really think I can break 70.They are there.

honker22

I'm good for a 54" bird .  I'm hell on 18 lb 2 yr olds
People who don't get it, don't get that they don't get it.

Woodsman4God

I know there are bigger birds where I hunt than the last one I tagged, it only went 48 so I am gonna say that 55-60 would be a good chance this year. Last year because of the early hot weather most of the hens were bred by the time my season started and it was tough going, knowing that I am hoping there are plenty of 2 year olds to choose from, and perhaps some 3 year olds that could go higher.

GobbleNut

#8
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...
Woodsman4God...55
honker22............54
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
_________________
1st 9 projection 546
Any more predictions out there from teammates?....

vicksburg

I may be able to scrap up a 60 point bird...
]

BOFF

I'm fairly certain of a 55er. I'm looking for a 75.


God Bless,
David B.

GobbleNut

#11
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13

BOFF

Quote from: GobbleNut on March 21, 2013, 05:53:17 PM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13


So I'm already out?

God Bless,
David B.

BOFF

I predict a bird weighing 21.47 lbs. 12" beard,  and 1" spurs. ;D


God Bless,
David B.

GobbleNut

#14
Quote from: BOFF on March 21, 2013, 08:00:09 PM
Quote from: GobbleNut on March 21, 2013, 05:53:17 PM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13


So I'm already out?

God Bless,
David B.

HaaHaa, David,....You are not out,...you just had the sense not to make any preseason prediction about killing a gobbler!  Mark did the same, but since he killed one I added his name with his actual score.  ...Here,...I'll add you now that you have responded.  I will use your new prediction of "gobbler grandeur" and we'll see how it works out!

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 68.22
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              182.35    (3 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557