Mississippi-Noxubee County area here. Saw a ton of jakes this year and actually had them ruin a couple of hunts. As for this years hatch I think in our area we should be ok. Seems the hens started a tad early this year, I saw the first group of polts back almost two and a half weeks ago. The weather has been great for raising a brood up until the last two weeks. I expect it to be a pretty solid hatch overall. On a side note, the group that I have already seen was quite impressive. She had 10 polts with her which is pretty exceptional to get that many all the way through hatch.
It still amazes me that hens manage to raise their young successfully in the wild. If you have ever attempted to raise turkeys it is not easy to keep them alive.