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Fun Stuff (Games, Contests) => 2013 TEAM Turkey Contest => Archived turkey hunting contests => Team Crusaders => Topic started by: GobbleNut on February 19, 2013, 06:34:53 PM

Title: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on February 19, 2013, 06:34:53 PM
We get to score a total of nine birds for the total team score this year.  How about some predictions on what our total team score will be,...based on each team member's prediction of what their individual gobblers will score. 

Personally, I should reasonably expect to kill four or five gobblers this spring, but I will be lucky to get a bird that scores more than sixty points or so.  The areas I will be hunting just don't usually produce birds that score much more than that.  With the killers we have on the team this year, I will be lucky to get a bird that gets put into the team total.

How about the rest of the team?  What kind of scores do you think your birds will tally?  Maybe we can add up everybody's predictions and see how close we come to our real total when it is all done.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: hookedspur on February 19, 2013, 08:57:28 PM
My biggest last year was 66 something Anthony knocked me out of the biggest with that monster he killed up there by the Nuclear plant  ;D . I hope I can get 60 this year , we will see .
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on February 19, 2013, 10:58:30 PM
i have killed many a bird over 60 but for this i will give myself a score of 55 to be conservative.
Title: Re: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: anthonyjhallen on February 20, 2013, 09:02:50 AM
Quote from: hookedspur on February 19, 2013, 08:57:28 PM
My biggest last year was 66 something Anthony knocked me out of the biggest with that monster he killed up there by the Nuclear plant  ;D . I hope I can get 60 this year , we will see .

It wasn't a nuclear plant but they do test and develop all the Army's chem warfare stuff here....:o

I will set a goal for myself at 70.  Its a long shot but I will have at least 3 tags to burn, so I think its doable.

Sent from my C771 using Tapatalk 2

Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: HoggleGobble on February 20, 2013, 10:57:22 AM
I should kill 5 or 6 with traveling. Hope to get at least one around 64
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: redarrow on February 20, 2013, 02:46:06 PM
My best was just under 70. Hunting the same area and know his offspring are there. I really think I can break 70.They are there.
Title: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: honker22 on February 21, 2013, 03:45:22 PM
I'm good for a 54" bird .  I'm hell on 18 lb 2 yr olds
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: Woodsman4God on February 24, 2013, 09:53:17 AM
I know there are bigger birds where I hunt than the last one I tagged, it only went 48 so I am gonna say that 55-60 would be a good chance this year. Last year because of the early hot weather most of the hens were bred by the time my season started and it was tough going, knowing that I am hoping there are plenty of 2 year olds to choose from, and perhaps some 3 year olds that could go higher.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on February 24, 2013, 11:01:58 AM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...
Woodsman4God...55
honker22............54
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
_________________
1st 9 projection 546
Any more predictions out there from teammates?....
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: vicksburg on February 25, 2013, 12:26:38 PM
I may be able to scrap up a 60 point bird...
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: BOFF on February 28, 2013, 06:56:24 AM
I'm fairly certain of a 55er. I'm looking for a 75.


God Bless,
David B.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on March 21, 2013, 05:53:17 PM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: BOFF on March 21, 2013, 08:00:09 PM
Quote from: GobbleNut on March 21, 2013, 05:53:17 PM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13


So I'm already out?

God Bless,
David B.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: BOFF on March 21, 2013, 08:32:15 PM
I predict a bird weighing 21.47 lbs. 12" beard,  and 1" spurs. ;D


God Bless,
David B.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on March 22, 2013, 09:50:38 AM
Quote from: BOFF on March 21, 2013, 08:00:09 PM
Quote from: GobbleNut on March 21, 2013, 05:53:17 PM
So here's our predicted (conservative) total so far...

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection 546              114.13


So I'm already out?

God Bless,
David B.

HaaHaa, David,....You are not out,...you just had the sense not to make any preseason prediction about killing a gobbler!  Mark did the same, but since he killed one I added his name with his actual score.  ...Here,...I'll add you now that you have responded.  I will use your new prediction of "gobbler grandeur" and we'll see how it works out!

                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54             54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 68.22
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              182.35    (3 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on March 24, 2013, 11:55:46 PM
                   Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64              65.19
Anthonyjhallen....70
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 68.22
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              247.54    (4 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: BOFF on March 24, 2013, 11:59:03 PM
Appreciate the extra points, but I don't think it will stick.  :laugh:

My bird was 65.72.


God Bless,
David B.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on March 25, 2013, 12:26:35 AM
Quote from: BOFF on March 24, 2013, 11:59:03 PM
Appreciate the extra points, but I don't think it will stick.  :laugh:

My bird was 65.72.


God Bless,
David B.

I was just encouraging you to measure those extra spurs and add them in, David!   ;D
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on March 30, 2013, 10:57:57 PM
Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 68.22
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              394.16    (6 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on April 10, 2013, 10:59:17 PM
Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 68.22
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              394.16    (6 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557

65.7 average for six birds so far.  Not bad!!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: redarrow on April 11, 2013, 08:39:48 AM
At this rate we're gonna blow right past our projected score. :icon_thumright: :icon_thumright: :icon_thumright: Nuther 11 days before I can do my part.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: HoggleGobble on April 11, 2013, 09:27:31 AM
Thats awesome!!!! I think David's bruiser was 65.72. Still a freaking hoss. Lot of guys aren't even in the woods yet!!! I can't wait to see these scores after another couple weeks!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: hookedspur on April 11, 2013, 09:54:11 AM
Looking Good , Me and Snapper cant start till the 22nd ,I hope we can add to the tally.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: vicksburg on April 11, 2013, 11:56:54 AM
I hope to soon add to the score as well.  Headed to Missouri next Thursday eve.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on April 11, 2013, 06:38:04 PM
Quote from: HoggleGobble on April 11, 2013, 09:27:31 AM
Thats awesome!!!! I think David's bruiser was 65.72. Still a freaking hoss. Lot of guys aren't even in the woods yet!!! I can't wait to see these scores after another couple weeks!

Okay, okay,...I'll change David's bird back to 65.72.  I really think he should add those 1/8" extra spurs to his birds score though!

Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 65.72
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              391.6625    (6 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557

That dropped our average to 65.3....Somebody has to make that up for us!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: redarrow on April 11, 2013, 07:09:48 PM
I accept the challenge Sir. Come April 22nd. I'm taking one for the team !  :fud:  :OGani:
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: anthonyjhallen on April 14, 2013, 09:03:19 PM
Slow going here in TX, we are eat up with Jakes.....
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on April 16, 2013, 10:07:23 AM
got a feeling next week Hook, Red and myself are going to add birds for us.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: redarrow on April 16, 2013, 11:11:45 PM
I sure hope so brother,I sure hope so.  :icon_thumright: :icon_thumright: :icon_thumright:
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on April 18, 2013, 08:37:21 AM
Latest update after Vicksburg addition....

Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55
hookedspur.........60
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60              58.83
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 65.72
Clif Owen
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              450.4925    (7 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on April 19, 2013, 10:09:05 AM
woohooo 2- 55 inchers and we will top our top 9 projection.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on April 22, 2013, 10:24:37 PM
Latest update on our prediction chart.  Redarrow, snapper, and hookedspur have posted their birds.  Looks like we will have the full nine birds we need,...and will shatter our team prediction!  Now we need some upgrades to make sure we are in the running for the top spot in the contest....     

Projected   Actual (First bird)
Woodsman4God...55               
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70              60.6875
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55              51.3125
hookedspur.........60              64.025
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60              58.83
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 65.72
Clif Owen
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              575.205    ( best 9 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557

Team average is now at 63.91 for best 9
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: redarrow on April 23, 2013, 11:20:40 AM
Im thrilled that I could contribute this year. Not a 70 ,but I'm happy. Crusaders are doing really great this year. I say we stick together for next year as well.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: hookedspur on April 23, 2013, 05:15:13 PM
Quote from: redarrow on April 23, 2013, 11:20:40 AM
Im thrilled that I could contribute this year. Not a 70 ,but I'm happy. Crusaders are doing really great this year. I say we stick together for next year as well.


Im With ya Brother !!!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on April 23, 2013, 06:42:28 PM
well i hope to make a huge upgrade sorry fellas for shooting the little one. lol
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: Woodsman4God on April 25, 2013, 08:07:30 AM
Quote from: snapper1982 on April 23, 2013, 06:42:28 PM
well i hope to make a huge upgrade sorry fellas for shooting the little one. lol

There is a saying in Africa, you shoot what the bush gives you. Don't apologize for success. There have been years we didn't tag our 9 so we will take it. Congrats on a fine 2 year old  make no apologies
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: BOFF on April 25, 2013, 08:14:20 AM
Quote from: Woodsman4God on April 25, 2013, 08:07:30 AM
Quote from: snapper1982 on April 23, 2013, 06:42:28 PM
well i hope to make a huge upgrade sorry fellas for shooting the little one. lol

There is a saying in Africa, you shoot what the bush gives you. Don't apologize for success. There have been years we didn't tag our 9 so we will take it. Congrats on a fine 2 year old  make no apologies

Amen!!

Don't make the turkey gods mad by belittling what has been given.  :toothy12:


I'm so happy I didn't open my mouth about how easy this season was going to be, although I'm guilty of thinking it.

Fortunately, my one turkey scored very well for me.


God Bless,
David B.
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on April 25, 2013, 11:57:41 AM
just messin around guys. i will kill another 2 yr old if one comes in. the turkey gods never get mad at me. they love me!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on May 06, 2013, 04:08:25 PM
Latest Update:
                    Projected            Actual           
Woodsman4God...55             
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70              60.6875
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70              54.50
snapper1982.......55              51.3125
hookedspur.........60              64.025
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60              76.88
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 65.72
Clif Owen
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              593.255    ( best 9 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557

Team average is now at 65.92 for best 9
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: hookedspur on May 06, 2013, 04:23:05 PM
Nice  :z-guntootsmiley: This needs to be a sticky as a running total post
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: hookedspur on May 16, 2013, 08:37:49 AM
Snapper has an UPGRADE coming,,  :you_rock:
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: snapper1982 on May 18, 2013, 02:37:30 PM
upgrade posted in the kill thread!
Title: Re: Preseason Team Score Prediction
Post by: GobbleNut on May 18, 2013, 04:37:50 PM
Latest Update (5/18/13):
                    Projected            Actual           
Woodsman4God...55             
honker22............54              54.75
redarrow............70              60.6875
HoggleGobble......64              90.875
Anthonyjhallen....70               54.50
snapper1982.......55              66.6875
hookedspur.........60              64.025
GobbleNut..........58              66.4375
Vicksburg...........60              76.88
Mark72                                  59.38
Boff                  65                 65.72
Clif Owen
        ____________          __________
1st 9 projection  546              608.60    ( best 9 birds total)
Top 9 projection 557

Team average is now at 67.62 for best 9